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	<title>Covered &#187; elliot wave</title>
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		<title>Christmas is coming a little late this year</title>
		<link>http://www.ryanbarr.com/trading/christmas-is-coming-a-little-late-this-year</link>
		<comments>http://www.ryanbarr.com/trading/christmas-is-coming-a-little-late-this-year#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Jan 2009 18:56:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ryan Barr</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Options Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papermoney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elliot wave]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fxp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[qld]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ryanbarr.com/?p=347</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Christmas rally I was hoping for looks like it is starting to take shape as we start 2009.  Click in the post to see more.<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style addthis_" addthis:url='http://www.ryanbarr.com/trading/christmas-is-coming-a-little-late-this-year' addthis:title='Christmas is coming a little late this year' ><a class="addthis_button_preferred_1"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_2"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_3"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_4"></a><a class="addthis_button_compact"></a></div>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Well there we go&#8230; the <span class='inlinequote'>
<a  href='http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=' class='inlinequote_ticker' target='yahoo_finance' title='S&amp;P 500' onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/external/finance.yahoo.com/q/bc');" >SPX</a>(<span class='inlinequote_last'>1344.33 </span><span class='inlinequote_negative'>-0.57</span>)</span> appears to be getting off to a late Christmas rally.  I was really hoping this would materialize before Christmas and into the new year as my positions are heavely into 2X products that get killed by whipsaw.</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-348" title="SPX 6 Month Chart" src="http://www.ryanbarr.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/picture-1.png" alt="SPX 6 Month Chart" width="422" height="432" /></p>
<p>Here is a six month <span class='inlinequote'>
<a  href='http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=' class='inlinequote_ticker' target='yahoo_finance' title='S&amp;P 500' onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/external/finance.yahoo.com/q/bc');" >SPX</a>(<span class='inlinequote_last'>1344.33 </span><span class='inlinequote_negative'>-0.57</span>)</span> chart that shows our current move, and that resistance is somewhere around 950. If we can continue to push through the 923 level we will be in good shape I think.  I&#8217;m expecting this to push forward towards 950 and take my profits at that point.</p>
<p>Right now, my _FPX position is just getting killed both in my personal and papermoney accounts.  Papermoney has a bunch of <span class='inlinequote'>
<a  href='http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=' class='inlinequote_ticker' target='yahoo_finance' title='ProShares Ultra S' onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/external/finance.yahoo.com/q/bc');" >SSO</a>(<span class='inlinequote_last'>53.07 </span><span class='inlinequote_nochange'>+0.00</span>)</span> and <span class='inlinequote'>
<a  href='http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=' class='inlinequote_ticker' target='yahoo_finance' title='ProShares Ultra Q' onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/external/finance.yahoo.com/q/bc');" >QLD</a>(<span class='inlinequote_last'>100.27 </span><span class='inlinequote_nochange'>+0.00</span>)</span> as well that I added a week or two ago.  I&#8217;ll be putting in the conginent sale orders as we step up in that account as well.</p>
<p>This rally will likey not last, I&#8217;m expecting this to be a simple wave 4 of the major Elliot Wave pattern we are currently in.  This could rally up to the 1,000 level on the SPX but I wouldn&#8217;t bet the farm on it.  For me, 950 is the get the heck out mark.  I&#8217;ll re-evalutate at that point and possibly beging to get some longer term puts in place to pull down additional profits.</p>
<p>My goal this year is to trade a little less often, during the last three months of this year I placed litterely hundres of orders that were filled.  For a guy that typically places about 50 orders a year, that volume in Oct, Nov and Dec was just nuts.  Trading swings and trends in my wheelhouse, and I need to get back into that mode.</p>
<p>2008 was a great year with my personal account being up almost 100%.  I am down quite a bit from my peak in 2008, but still a great year.  I expect to have a great start to 2009 as well.</p>
<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style addthis_" addthis:url='http://www.ryanbarr.com/trading/christmas-is-coming-a-little-late-this-year' addthis:title='Christmas is coming a little late this year' ><a class="addthis_button_preferred_1"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_2"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_3"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_4"></a><a class="addthis_button_compact"></a></div>]]></content:encoded>
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